Gamevue is Taking Table Games from Average Bet to Precision Theoretical

There is a number that quietly sits at the core of the entire Table Games economy. It is the starting point for who gets the suite, the steak dinner, and the limo, versus who gets offered the player rate.

Almost every decision a casino makes about a Table Games customer traces back to the casino's Theoretical (or Expected) Win. And this figure always starts with an Average Bet.

The player sits down, hands over a rating card with a buy-in, and a floor supervisor or dealer swipes the card. They enter the buy-in, an average bet, and start the rating.

But the reality is that supervisor isn't watching just one player. They are responsible for an entire section of tables and dozens of customers at once.

The Floor Supervisor, among their many duties of entertaining guests and protecting the casino floor, is also tasked with keeping a running average of every customer's bets. Some work hard to stay as accurate as humanly possible, some gave up trying long ago, but not even the sharpest supervisors are able to capture a table player’s true value to the casino.

For as long as the pits have existed, the industry has accepted this as the cost of doing business. Today's table rating systems give supervisors an impossible task and, as a result, gives customers an inconsistent experience based on inaccurate data.

A/B: Not the Only Culprit of Inaccuracy

Looking at the calculation to determine a casino's Theoretical Win, we quickly see that nearly every piece of data used to determine a Table Games customer's actual worth is nothing but a broad estimate:

All three of these factors are estimates, but only 1. Average Bet is determined by the supervisor on the floor. Let's look at the other two inaccurate metrics.

2. Configured Theoretical Edge

“Configured” is used because in my experience this number is decided by the executive team when setting up the rating system. It is typically a fraction of the true House Edge of the game to compensate for the inaccuracy built into the overall process.

The rating system may distinguish between main bets and side bets, but even this only creates a second inaccurate number. Certainly, no system has ever been able to accurately evaluate player skill and betting patterns and then incorporate it into the calculation.

The most ideal rating system will apply exact theoretical win to every bet and will ultimately apply a player skill and behavior metric to adjust that expectation based on their decisions.

3. Estimated Number of Decisions

“Estimated” is used because Rounds per Hour are configured in the rating system just as subjectively as the House Edge. Executives select a static number that is almost always conservatively hedged.

Does the system adjust for heads-up play versus a full table? Does it account for a lightning-fast dealer versus one who works at a slower pace? If not, the rating cannot be truly accurate.

The actual number of decisions per hour varies dramatically depending on table occupancy, dealer speed, game conditions, and how each customer chooses to play.

How Gamevue Changes Table Games Ratings

The reason Average Bet existed at all is simple: the real data was impossible to capture.

You couldn't record every wager on every hand for every player, so you averaged. You couldn't rate based on dealer speed or player skill, so everyone was placed into the same bucket.

Gamevue's Automated Bet Accumulator

With Gamevue on your tables, you remove the guesswork and eliminate the need for estimation.

This level of data brings Table Games to the same standard Slot Operations have enjoyed for decades. Slot players have never been rated using an "average spin." Every wager is recorded electronically, allowing the casino to calculate precise theoretical win based on each player's actual coin-in.

With computer vision tracking every chip on the layout, you no longer estimate what a player wagered. You know it.

Every bet. Every round. Captured and logged automatically with no additional work from the pit.

Calculating Precision Theoretical

For decades, Slot theoretical has been measured. Table Games theoretical has been estimated. Gamevue finally changes that.

Instead of today's basic system:

Gamevue produces:

And very soon, we will introduce:

The Icing: Skill-Adjusted Precision Theoretical

Two players can post the same average bet, play the same number of hands, and receive the exact same rating while representing dramatically different values to the casino.

One player may be a recreational guest making frequent strategy mistakes. Another may be an experienced player making mathematically correct decisions throughout the session. Traditional theoretical calculations incorrectly treats them as identical value because of their average bet.

The next evolution of player ratings is Skill-Adjusted Precision Theoretical. To achieve it honestly, the system must understand three things simultaneously:

• Every card that was dealt.

• Every decision the player made.

• Every wager associated with those decisions.

Only then can each decision be measured against the mathematically correct play to determine the player's actual skill level.

Gamevue Has the Three Keys to AI in Table Games

There is no other company that has achieved the three essential components required for true AI in Table Games: Every Chip, Every Card, and Game Logic.

Gamevue brings all three to your tables on day one, allowing casinos to fundamentally transform player ratings and table operations.

The team behind Gamevue is proud to have achieved what is needed to advance Table Games into the next generation.  Your rating system can now become intelligent, precise, and automated.

Precision Ratings: Tracking every chip and every card transforms theoretical win from an estimate into a precise measurement. Average Bet is replaced by the actual sum of wagers multiplied by the true hold.

Skill-Based Ratings: The unprecedented game logic allows the system to calculate those decisions against mathematically correct plays and incorporate player behavior into theoretical calculations.

Advantage Play Detection: The same data that measures player skill also identifies players whose skill has crossed into advantage play. The system recognizes these patterns and escalates them to the investigation team.

Saying Goodbye to a Placeholder

Average Bet was never a true measurement. It was a placeholder. A practical solution the industry adopted because the actual data simply wasn't available.

Computer vision and AI now free the Supervisors to focus on the aspects of the job that require human experience and judgment: reading the room, protecting the casino floor, and taking care of the customer experience.

Average Bet has a limited future in Table Games. It served its purpose as a workaround for a problem we couldn't yet solve.

Automated Precision Ratings, Skill-Based Ratings, and Advantage Play Detection are no longer the future of Table Games. They are the new reality, available today with Gamevue.

(If your property handles ratings differently, or you share a different perspective, I'd welcome your feedback and will update this article as needed. matthew.porter@northernvue.com)

Gamevue Update: Gamevue is live and in action in the real world delivering powerful value for Table Games managers and executives. We have recently concluded our beta testing and have moved to delivering powerful results for paying customers. Now is the best time to get involved with Gamevue as we are offering significant discounts for early customers. For more information about how to bring Gamevue to your casino, visit www.Gamevue.ai.